How might Britain vote in a General Election tomorrow?

Our Poll Of Polls


Our poll of polls series is calculated as a seven point moving average with modifications so as to ensure the over saturation of the average by certain pollsters in publishing more regularly has no effect on the headline numbers.

The Conservatives have so far had an uninterrupted lead in our model since May 2015.

You can find all Westminster voting intentions here.

Article Posts


By-election previews: 25 May 2017

So, there are just two weeks to go now before 2017’s main electoral course of the general election. There is just one local by-election remaining before then, but if you were looking for insights into the national picture you’re likely to be disappointed for this is a ward that behaves in its own way. Without further ado, we’re off to the end of the Thames Estuary… ...

By-election previews: 18 May 2017

“All the right votes, but not necessarily in the right order”New surroundings, new colours, new styles, a new host, but the same old Andrew’s Previews. After nearly a year of this column being kindly hosted by Ian Warren of Election Data, Ian has decided to move in a different direction. I’d like to place on record my thanks to Ian for allowing me to share his platform...

The 2017 Election Briefing – Scotland

This series of briefings will cover the elections to be held across England, Scotland and Wales on 04 May, 2017. There will be elections to much of the English shire authorities, the principal authorities of Scotland and Wales, the six mayoral contests in England and the Metropolitan Borough of Doncaster. This part, of three, covers Scotland. Scottish AuthoritiesThere will be 1,223 seats up...

The 2017 Election Briefing – Wales

This series of briefings will cover the elections to be held across England, Scotland and Wales on 04 May, 2017. There will be elections to much of the English shire authorities, the principal authorities of Scotland and Wales, the six mayoral contests in England and the Metropolitan Borough of Doncaster. This part, of three, covers Wales. Welsh AuthoritiesThere will be 1,254 seats up for...

#IndyRef 2.0

It’s more likely than not that the Scottish people will go to the polls in a second referendum on independence. First Minister Nicola Sturgeon has indicated a preference for it to be held between the Autumn of 2018 and Spring of 2019, but Theresa May responded that ‘now is not the time’. This response may provoke a jump in support for Yes in the polls, as is anticipated by...

The 2017 Election Briefing – England

This new series of briefings will cover the elections to be held across England, Scotland and Wales on 04 May, 2017. There will be elections to much of the English shire authorities, the principal authorities of Scotland and Wales, the six mayoral contests in England and the Metropolitan Borough of Doncaster. This part, of three, covers England. English AuthoritiesThere will be 2,388 seats...

May vs. Corbyn, public perceptions

New Opinium polling commissioned by Keiran Pedley offers some light on public perceptions towards Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn and Prime Minister Theresa May. Surveyed during the end of January following May’s Brexit speech, voters were asked whether they’d agree or disagree with a few choice statements about them. Chart: Public perceptions towards Prime Minister Theresa May...

A note on the Sunderland Sandhill council by-election

Many a comment has been made about Sunderland’s Sandhill council by-election result from last night, about what it may or may not mean and whether it is indicative of something or nothing. An anonymous source told me on Tuesday that the Lib Dems had been working the ward for three months, an abnormal length of campaigning for council by-election campaigns. Ciarán Morrissey, a Liberal...

2016’s Council By-Elections, a roundup

When it comes to council by-elections, 2016 has been unquestionably a good year for the Liberal Democrats. There have been 317 principal authority by-elections and deferred council contests held over the course of this year. Cornwall stands out as the authority with the most number of by-elections held, at seven. Council by-elections happen for a number of reasons. From the passing away or...

Theresa May, five months on

Five months since Theresa May’s ascendancy to Downing Street, the public’s impressions of her are more positive than negative but waver slightly in the face of growing opposition. Ipsos Mori’s satisfaction tracker show the new Prime Minister has over the course of the past five months – with the exception of October (where it was 48 per cent) – had half or more...

About


Britain Elects is a poll aggregation service that aims to deliver non-partisan commentary and analysis of the state of British politics and public opinion as well as the provision of an open source archive of opinion polls and election results, be they council or parliamentary.

Britain Elects is entirely voluntary, set up by those with an interest and experience in consultancy and politics.

Founded by Ben Walker and Lily Jayne Summers in 2013.

Remembering Lily Jayne Summers, 1993 - 2016


On 16 December, 2016, our Co-Founder, and my best friend, Lily Jayne Summers, sadly passed away.

Lily was integral to the development of Britain Elects, working hard on every national election night since its founding in 2013. She was a passionate person committed to the politics she believed in, and she enjoyed the part she played in BE. She was authentic, ambitious, funny, quick witted, always up for an argument, and heartwarming to those who knew her.

She was a great colleague, but to me she was more my closest friend than anything else. Lily meant so much. It was our friendship and commitment to helping each other out that got Britain Elects off the ground, really. I’m shocked and sorry to see her taken from this world at such a young age.

– Ben, Co-Founder